Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 28, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 29, 2022
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  50-47 (2nd place, AL Central)
Tampa Bay Rays:  53-45 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They split their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 50-47 record overall and have a road record of 25-28. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rays on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Boston Red Sox still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-6 with a 3.55 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 
 
The Rays were on a 4 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 53-45 record overall and have a home record of 31-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Baltimore Orioles still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .692 OPS. Ryan Yarbrough is on the mound on Thursday while Jeffrey Springs will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Friday. He is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 4.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals. 

 

Guardians vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Guardians have been playing great in their recent games but they have not had the toughest schedule recently. They just beat up on a struggling Red Sox team in their last series and they have been scoring a lot of runs in their games recently, but they are facing a Rays team with much better pitching here. The Rays have not been playing well in their recent games as their offense has not been doing much but their pitching has still been good and they are keeping teams from scoring a lot of runs on them. They are back at home here where they have been playing their best all season and their offense should wake up in this home series. Bieber is starting for the Guardians and he has not been pitching well recently, coming off of another bad start in his last game. Springs is starting for the Rays here and he has been great all season as he has not allowed many runs in his starts. He also has the Rays solid bullpen to back him up here and they should be able to keep the Guardians from scoring a lot here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
 
Guardians Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 29, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 3 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 57-74 (-18 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 21-34 (-6.5 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 31-22 OVER against AL East opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays: 205-139 (+33.9 Units) ML in all games. 109-57 (+26.3 Units) ML in home games. 14-9 OVER this season in July games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.
Tampa Bay Rays:  M. Margot (CF) Late Aug - Knee. M. Zunino (C) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Early Sept - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think you got to be good, but I think you got to want to be up in that situation. I do think he relishes that. When he stays that way, he becomes so dangerous. He's a really good hitter." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
 
 
"You feel for Colin a little bit. I saw on the highlights that the ball was up where he wants it. Mateo just did a good job of getting to it and knocking it out of the park." - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Orioles on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Owen Miller (R) 2B
Nolan Jones (L) RF
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Luke Raley (L) DH
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Roman Quinn (S) LF
Brett Phillips (L) CF
Taylor Walls (S) SS
Rene Pinto (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Nolan Jones (.306)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (110)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (19)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (79)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (14)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Roman Quinn (.444)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (94)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (14)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (47)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (20)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (10)
Saves:  Colin Poche (6)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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