Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2022

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 28, 2022

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

 

Cleveland Guardians:  49-47 (2nd place, AL Central)

Boston Red Sox:  49-49 (5th place, AL East)

 

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Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Guardians were on a 4 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They split their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 49-47 record overall and have a road record of 24-28. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Cal Quantrill is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-6 with a 3.11 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5.2 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 

 

The Red Sox lost 6 of their last 7 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Toronto Blue Jays getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 49-49 record overall and have a home record of 24-24. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi is on the mound on Wednesday while Kutter Crawford will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays. 

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game as they are -110 on the road here. They have been very inconsistent with their play recently but they have been a lot better than the Red Sox who are struggling to score runs and win their games recently. The Red Sox have been dealing with so many injuries to their pitchers recently and they have another situation here where they have someone from the bullpen starting another game as a few of their starters are out with injury, but their bullpen has also been left very thin now. Crawford is that pitcher making his start here but he has not been great in his few starts and he will allow some runs against the Guardians who have been scoring recently. The Guardians have McKenzie starting here and he has been really good in his last few starts, he will shut down the Red Sox lineup here which has been struggling. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

 

Guardians Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 28, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 7 Red Sox 2.

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Cleveland Guardians: 61-95 (-12.2 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 20-34 (-7.7 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 20-11 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Boston Red Sox: 82-64 (+8.3 Units) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 33-21 (+8.2 Units) ML against AL Central opponents. 46-30 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

 

 

Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (2B) Out indefinitely - Hand. E. Hernandez (CF) Early Aug - Hip Flexor. R. Devers (3B) Early Aug - Hamstring.

 

 

 

"He went right through the middle of that game and quieted it down. I think he had some adrenaline because it was coming out hot." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Tuesday.

 

 

"We played good defense. I think that was the difference." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Guardians on Monday.

 

 

 

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Nolan Jones (L) RF

Austin Hedges (R) C

Myles Straw (R) CF

 

Rob Refsnyder (R) RF

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Christian Vazquez (R) 1B

Kevin Plawecki (R) C

Yolmer Sanchez (S) 2B

Bobby Dalbec (R) 3B

Jaylin Davis (R) CF

 

 

Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.301)

Hits:  Amed Rosario (108)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (19)

RBI:  Jose Ramirez (79)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (14)

Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (20)

ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.429)

Hits:  Rafael Devers (113)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (22)

RBI:  Trevor Story (58)

Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)

Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)

Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)

ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)

 

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)