Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/20/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 19, 2026
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Saturday, June 20, 2026
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +158, Yankees -193; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +155, Yankees -185; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +155, Yankees -190; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Cincinnati Reds:  35-38 (5th place, NL Central)
New York Yankees:  45-28 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10



Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Reds are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-38 record overall and have a road record of 16-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Rhett Lowder is their starting pitcher on Friday while Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-4 with a 3.95 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 SO on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-28 record overall and have a home record of 21-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Friday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-1 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 1 strikeout on 8 hits through 4 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays.


Reds vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 45-28 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 21-13 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Reds haven't looked great in their games this season with their 35-38 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't been a good road team either with their 16-19 road record this year. The Reds haven't looked good lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have been starting to enter a slump now. They don't have a great offense to help them out in this series either. The Yankees have one of the best offenses in MLB though and they have been rolling lately, now 8-2 in their last 10 games. Warren is on the mound for the Yankees in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 7-1 with a 3.47 ERA and the team has had a ton of success with him lately. They have won 6 games in a row now with him starting and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been more of a common theme for him lately. The Reds are going with Abbott in this one and he has looked good this season too. He is 4-4 with a 3.95 ERA, but he has also had some injury trouble this year. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run, but he has had some bad starts this year too and the team has been having more trouble with him lately, losing 2 games in a row now with him on the mound. The Yankees can take advantage of this pitching matchup at home with the better offense and continue rolling against a slumping Reds team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.

Reds Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 20, 2026 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Cincinnati Reds: 21-16 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 18-25 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +150 or more. 64-57 (+9.7 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 23-14 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

New York Yankees: 16-17 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 243-174 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 122-86 (-19.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 22-14 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season.

Key Injuries


Cincinnati Reds:  E. De La Cruz (SS) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. P. Johnson (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Ashcraft (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. K. Hayes (3B) Ten Day IL - Back. E. Pagan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. H. Greene (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) Day To Day - Groin. T. Grisham (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. A. Wells (C) Ten Day IL - Cervical Headaches. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Rib. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“I do think for us to be the team we want to be, we have to play very clean baseball. We haven’t done that as well as we’d like to.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday. 


“Some of those lefties haven’t missed against him. Benintendi went up there hunting very aggressively, first pitch, and pulled the ball down and in. He’s missed some spots in some situations that have hurt him.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Cincinnati Reds
Edwin Arroyo (S) 2B
JJ Bleday (L) LF
Sal Stewart (R) 3B
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Eugenio Suárez (R) DH
Spencer Steer (R) RF
Noelvi Marte (R) CF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Matt McLain (R) SS

New York Yankees
Ben Rice (L) 1B
Paul Goldschmidt (R) DH
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Jasson Domínguez (S) RF
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Spencer Jones (L) CF
José Caballero (R) SS
Ryan McMahon (L) 3B
J.C. Escarra (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.280)
Hits:  Sal Stewart (69)
Home Runs:  Sal Stewart (14)
RBI:  Sal Stewart (47)
Stolen Bases:  Sal Stewart (11)
Wins:  Chase Burns (8)
Saves:  Emilio Pagán (6)
ERA:  Caleb Ferguson (1.93)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Paul Goldschmidt (.300)
Hits:  Cody Bellinger (73)
Home Runs:  Ben Rice (20)
RBI:  Ben Rice (49)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (20)
Wins:  Cam Schlittler (7)
Saves:  David Bednar (14)
ERA:  Yovanny Cruz (0.00)

Managers:
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (2nd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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