Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bengals -7, Dolphins +7; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bengals -7, Dolphins +7; Over/Under:  42.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bengals -7.5, Dolphins +7.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Cincinnati Bengals:  2-2 (4th place, AFC North)

Miami Dolphins:  0-4 (4th place, AFC East)

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Cincinnati Bengals:  lost their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 22-17.

Miami Dolphins:  lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 15-10.

The Bengals are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 22-17. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 39/54 passes for 428 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Chase Brown led the team in rushing yards with 10. Tee Higgins led the receivers with 157 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Barrett Carter led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles while Boye Mafe, Dexter Lawrence II, Myles Murphy, and Kris Jenkins Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 15-10. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 9/17 passes for 85 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ollie Gordon II led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 1 TD. Malik Washington led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jacob Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 18 solo tackles while Zach Sieler led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Bengals listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC North. They haven't been a great road team either with their 1-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-4 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 0-1 home record this season. The Dolphins are coming off a 15-10 loss to the Vikings in their last one and they kept that a tight game, but they also played against one of the worst offenses in the NFL. They didn't have a ton of talent entering the season and they already lost one of their best players to an injury. The defense looked better against a bad offense, but that hasn't been a common theme for them this year and now they face a really good offense with a lot of talent and an elite QB. The offense hasn't looked good either, struggling to put up points in their games, and this Bengals defense has improved this season. The Bengals are coming off a 22-17 loss to the Jaguars at home and they have lost 2 games in a row now after starting the season 2-0, but they will be looking to bounce back and this is a great get right game for them. The Dolphins aren't going to be able to do much on this improved Bengals defense that hasn't been giving up nearly as many points as previous seasons and the Dolphins defense isn't going to do much to slow down the talent on this Bengals offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bengals to cover the spread in this game. 

Bengals Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bengals 24 Dolphins 7.

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Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-2 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 16-8 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-1 OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite.

Miami Dolphins: 1-4 ATS against AFC North division opponents. 8-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 9-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-5 OVER after playing their last game on the road.

Cincinnati Bengals:  None.

Miami Dolphins:  None.

“I believe in these guys. Really disappointed that we lost. We’re not that kind of a team this year that’s going to take consolation in losses. I think we lost tough games to some really good teams.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s loss against the Jaguars in their last game.  

“You hate the feeling of continuing to get better without actually gaining wins on the win column, but as we see, we’re going out there and competing.” - Malik Willis after their loss against the Vikings in their last game. 

WR Chase, Ja'Marr

WR Higgins, Tee

WR Meyers, Dohnte

TE Sample, Drew

QB Burrow, Joe

RB Brown, Chase

WR Bell, Chris

WR Coleman Jr., Kevin

WR Washington, Malik

TE Dulcich, Greg

QB Willis, Malik

RB Gordon II, Ollie

FB Herman, DJ

Passing: Joe Burrow (1,171)

Rushing: Chase Brown (207)

Receiving: Tee Higgins (401)

Touchdowns: Ja'Marr Chase (3)

Passing: Malik Willis (712)

Rushing: Ollie Gordon II (148)

Receiving: Malik Washington (219)

Touchdowns: Ollie Gordon II (2)

Coaches:

Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (8th season)

Miami Dolphins: Jeff Hafley (1st season)