Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/14/2025

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Thursday, August 14, 2025

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  MARQ, Sportsnet

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Chicago Cubs:  67-51 (2nd place, NL Central)

Toronto Blue Jays:  70-50 (1st place, AL East)

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Chicago Cubs:  4-6 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10

The Cubs are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-51 record overall and have a road record of 31-29. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Cubs lost the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Horton is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Matthew Boyd is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 11-5 with a 2.45 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 SO on 7 hits through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-50 record overall and have a home record of 39-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Blue Jays won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .769 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-2 with a 4.21 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have looked great in their games this season with their 70-50 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 39-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Cubs have looked really good in their games this season with their 67-51 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL Central. They have been a good road team too with their 31-29 road record this season. The Blue Jays already took the 1st game of this series on Tuesday and they have looked like the better team lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are going with Scherzer in this one and he hasn't looked great this season, but he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He is 2-2 with a 4.21 ERA and he hasn't been giving up as many runs lately. The team has still lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start. The Cubs are going with Boyd in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 11-5 with a 2.45 ERA, but lately he hasn't looked as good. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start which will get him into trouble against this offense and the team has been struggling with him lately too, losing 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Cubs haven't looked bad lately, but they haven't been as hot as the Blue Jays have been lately and the Blue Jays have looked like a different team at home this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game. 

Cubs Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 14, 2025 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Cubs 3.

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Chicago Cubs: 23-17 (+7 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 234-208 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 77-56 (+17.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 28-17 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Toronto Blue Jays: 233-213 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 121-99 (-10 units) on the moneyline in home games. 133-109 (-23.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 25-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Chicago Cubs:  M. Soroka (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. J. Taillon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. E. Morgan (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Steele (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  G. Springer (RF) Seven Day IL - Head. B. Francis (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Burr (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Sandlin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. Y. Garcia (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. A. Santander (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Bastardo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“They got the big hit tonight. That was the game, to me. They got the big hit, and we did not.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday.

“We’ve established our brand of baseball that is rooted and founded in the toughness and the cohesiveness of our players. Tough to strike out, playing good defense -- which has been a trademark over the last few years, not just this year -- really putting the pressure on the other team. That identity is married to the culture and the values that our players bring to the field every day.” - Mark Shapiro on the Blue Jays this season. 

Michael Busch (L) 1B

Seiya Suzuki (R) DH

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Carson Kelly (R) C

Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) CF

Ian Happ (S) LF

Nico Hoerner (R) 2B

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Matt Shaw (R) 3B

Nathan Lukes (L) LF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Addison Barger (L) RF

Alejandro Kirk (R) C

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Ty France (R) DH

Ernie Clement (R) 3B

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Nico Hoerner (.289)

Hits:  Nico Hoerner (125)

Home Runs:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (27)

RBI:  Seiya Suzuki (84)

Stolen Bases:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (30)

Wins:  Matthew Boyd (11)

Saves:  Daniel Palencia (15)

ERA:  Michael Fulmer (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ty France (.387)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (148)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (19)

RBI:  Bo Bichette (78)

Stolen Bases:  George Springer (12)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (11)

Saves:  Jeff Hoffman (26)

ERA:  Ryan Burr (0.00)

Managers:

Chicago Cubs: Craig Counsell (2nd season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (4th season)