by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 10, 2025
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, October 13, 2025
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +4.5, Commanders -4.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +4.5, Commanders -4.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +4.5, Commanders -4.5; Over/Under: 50 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 2-2 (4th place, NFC North)
Washington Commanders: 3-2 (2nd place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 25-24.
Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers 27-10.
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 25-24. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 212 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 38 and 1 TD. Rome Odunze led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kevin Byard III came away with 2 interceptions while Tyrique Stevenson came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Commanders are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 27-10. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 15/26 passes for 231 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 2 TDs. Deebo Samuel Sr. led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Bobby Wagner led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Dorance Armstrong led the defense in sacks with 2. Mike Sainristil came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Commanders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, but they are starting to gain some momentum now. They started the season 0-2, but they have won 2 games in a row now and they are coming out of their bye week too so they have had extra time to rest for this game. Ben Johnson has the team moving in the right direction and this is not a game that they are going to come out flat in. Meanwhile, the Commanders have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall which has them near the top of the NFC East. They are off a big road win over the Chargers 27-10 in their last one, but they have been a really up and down team this year. The offense has been good, but they have struggled against better defenses, and their own defense hasn't looked great with the points they have been giving up in some of their games. The Bears also lost this game last season and it was the turning point in their season, but now they are in a much better situation this year and are going to be motivated to bring their best effort. This is going to be a tighter game that will likely be decided by a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Commanders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, October 13, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Commanders 24 Bears 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 7-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-4 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more. 8-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 7-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.
Washington Commanders: 2-6 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 3-6 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 2-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more. 14-7 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 10-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - Knee. C. Santos (K) Injured - Thigh. T. Homer (RB) Injured - Calf. J. Jackson (OG) Injured - Rib. T. Edwards (LB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Gordon (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Brisker (CB) Injured - Quad. D. Wright (OG) Injured - Elbow. A. Booker (DL) Injured - Knee. C. Loveland (TE) Injured - Hip. K. Monangai (RB) Injured - Thigh.
Washington Commanders: N. Brown (WR) Injured - Groin. J. Bates (TE) Injured - Shoulder. T. McLaurin (WR) Injured - Quad. S. Cosmi (OG) Injured - Knee. D. Samuel (WR) Injured - Heel. C. Rodriguez Jr. (RB) Injured - Calf. J. Daniels (QB) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“That's a huge character win for our team. I just love it for them.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game.
“I was pleased to see him make some decisions that may not show up on the stat sheet — when to go, when to throw it away. Knowing there was chances for him to let it rip, he absolutely did that. He’s just such a relentless competitor.” - Dan Quinn after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Moore, DJ
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Washington Commanders
WR Moore, Chris
WR McCaffrey, Luke
WR Samuel, Deebo
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Croskey-Merritt, Jacory
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (927)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (187)
Receiving: Rome Odunze (296)
Touchdowns: Rome Odunze (5)
Washington Commanders
Passing: Jayden Daniels (664)
Rushing: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (283)
Receiving: Deebo Samuel (300)
Touchdowns: Deebo Samuel (4)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
