by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 26, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 28, 2025
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +1.5, Raiders -1.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +1.5, Raiders -1.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +1, Raiders -1; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 1-2 (4th place, NFC North)
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-2 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 31-14.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 41-24.
Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 31-14. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 298 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 33. Luther Burden III led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Dominique Robinson and Montez Sweat each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tremaine Edmunds came away with 2 interceptions while Kevin Byard III came away with 1 INT for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 41-24. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 289 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 63. Tre Tucker led the receivers with 145 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 3 TDs. Maxx Crosby led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall, but they are off their 1st win of the season and 1st win under Ben Johnson as their new head coach. They beat the Cowboys at home and their offense looked great in that game, Caleb Williams looking a lot better than he did in their first 2 games. That win should give them some momentum now and they are going to be facing another bad defense on the Raiders. Meanwhile, the Raiders haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They won their season opener on the road, but now they have lost 2 games in a row and their defense hasn't looked great. They are off a 41-24 loss to the Commanders in their last one and they haven't really kept their last 2 games close either. This Raiders defense is going to be an issue all season and the Bears can take advantage of that after putting up a good offensive game last week. The Raiders have also been really up and down offensively this season and Ashton Jeanty has struggled to get going in their games too. The Bears are in a better situation here off their first win of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 28, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Bears 28 Raiders 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 2-9 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 1-5 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 1-4 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 8-4 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 9-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Las Vegas Raiders: 11-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-1 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 7-3 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 12-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - Knee. D. Swift (RB) Injured - Hip. J. Jones (CB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Edwards (LB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Kmet (TE) Injured - Groin. D. Jackson (LB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Gordon (CB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Wright (OG) Injured - Elbow. C. Loveland (TE) Injured - Hip.
Las Vegas Raiders: J. Chinn (S) Injured - Pectoral. M. Mayer (TE) Injured - Concussion. D. Richardson (CB) Injured - Hamstring. B. Bowers (TE) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It will be fun for tonight and then we’ll be on to the next one. We’re behind the 8-ball here. We’re 1-2 and we’ve got to get back to .500.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s win against the Cowboys in their last game.
“I have to do a better job. It was all three phases, so it’s me. I have to do a better job managing our return.” - Pete Carroll after his team’s loss against the Commanders in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Moore, DJ
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Thornton Jr., Dont'e
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Smith, Geno
RB Jeanty, Ashton
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (715)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (149)
Receiving: Rome Odunze (227)
Touchdowns: Rome Odunze (4)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: Geno Smith (831)
Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (144)
Receiving: Jakobi Meyers (228)
Touchdowns: Tre Tucker (4)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Pete Carroll (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
