Central Florida Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/10/2026

 

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 10, 2026

Venue:  Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UCF +9.5, Oklahoma State -9.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UCF +9.5, Oklahoma State -9.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UCF +9.5, Oklahoma State -9.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Central Florida Knights:  3-2 (1-1) (9th place, Big 12)

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  3-1 (1-0) (5th place, Big 12)

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Central Florida Knights:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Cougars 27-17.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  won their last game on the road against the West Virginia Mountaineers 41-24.

UCF is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Houston 27-17. Keyone Jenkins was the starting QB and he completed 23/35 passes for 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Duke Watson led the team in rushing yards with 50. Josh Derry led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Demari Henderson led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Jahleel Culbreath and Aymeric Koumba each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against West Virginia 41-24. Drew Mestemaker was the starting QB and he completed 20/27 passes for 389 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Caleb Hawkins led the team in rushing yards with 180 and 1 TD. Wyatt Young led the receivers with 192 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Ethan Wesloski led the defense in that game with 16 tackles while Tate Romney led the defense in sacks with 1. Mose Phillips III came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oklahoma State listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma State has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 2-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, UCF hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They haven't been a good road team either with their 0-2 road record this year. UCF is coming off a 27-17 loss to Houston in their last one and that has to be a really deflating loss. They were up 10-0 at halftime and were cruising in that game with their defense playing great, but the offense couldn't do much in the 2nd half and they ended up blowing their double digit lead to lose by double digits in the end. They have looked a lot worse on the road this season too and this isn't a great situation for them on the road again. Oklahoma State had a terrible start to the season with a loss to Tulsa and it looked like this new coaching hire was going to be a disaster already, but they bounced back the next week with a big win over a ranked Oregon team and now they are right back in the running for the Big 12. They have looked a lot better in their home games too and that offense has been starting to roll now. They are coming off a 41-24 win over West Virginia in their last one, running away with that game on the road, and now they are coming out of their bye week with extra time to prep for this game. Look for Oklahoma State to continue rolling in this one and show why they should still be considered a threat in the Big 12 this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread in this game. 

Central Florida Oklahoma State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 10, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma State 45 UCF 17.

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Central Florida Knights: 1-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 3-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 3-8 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 6-1 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 

Oklahoma State Cowboys: 28-21 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 21-14 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 48-34 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 7-2 UNDER as a favorite. 

Central Florida Knights:  J. Bibbs (WR) Probable - Undisclosed. D. Wade (TE) Questionable - Shoulder. K. Jenkins (QB) Probable - Undisclosed. D. Thomas Jr. (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Barnett III (QB) Out - Hamstring. L. Carter (LB) Out - Undisclosed.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  J. Sexton (OG) Questionable - Leg. O. Hammond (TE) Out - Undisclosed.

“I thought he played good again. The interception was just unfortunate. Great play by their guy. I wish we were a little more explosive offensively. We got to keep trying to be.” - Scott Frost after his team’s loss against Houston in their last game. 

“His response was phenomenal. He handled the whole game like a professional. Drew’s going to play football for a long time.” - Eric Morris after his team’s win against WVU in their last game. 

WR Derry, Josh

WR Charles, Waden

WR Farmer, Ric'Darious

TE Wade, Dylan

QB Barnett III, Alonza

RB Watson, Duke

WR Bowick, Justin

WR Barnes, Chris

WR Young, Wyatt

TE Kolb, Carson

QB Mestemaker, Drew

RB Hawkins, Caleb

Passing: Keyone Jenkins (541)

Rushing: Duke Watson (404)

Receiving: Josh Derry (220)

Touchdowns: Landen Chambers (3)

Passing: Drew Mestemaker (1,271)

Rushing: Caleb Hawkins (441)

Receiving: Wyatt Young (410)

Touchdowns: Justin Bowick (4)

Coaches:

Central Florida Knights: Scott Frost (2nd season)

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Eric Morris (1st season)