Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/10/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 09, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX 
Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Boston Celtics:  43-21 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
San Antonio Spurs:  47-17 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10
San Antonio Spurs:  9-1 last 10


Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Preview and Analysis


The Celtics are entering this game with a 43-21 record overall this season and they are 22-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 20 points. Jaylen Brown led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Neemias Queta led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.9 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 38-26 this season and their O/U record is 22-42.



The Spurs are entering this game with a 47-17 record overall this season and they are 24-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Detroit Pistons, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Houston Rockets. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 29 while Stephon Castle was next on the team with 23 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 58% from the field, 52.5% from 3-point range, and 81.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 36-27-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-38.


Celtics vs Spurs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 47-17 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 24-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 43-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a good road team too with their 22-11 road record this year. The Celtics are off a big road win over the Cavs in their last one and they have been rolling in their games lately. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now, but the Spurs have also been red hot lately and have a big home advantage here. The Spurs are off a huge win over the Rockets in their last one, putting up 145 points in that win, and they have been crushing opponents on their home court lately. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They have beaten some really good teams during this streak too and they have been blowing out some of the best teams in the NBA when they have played them at home. The Celtics have looked great over the last month and just got stronger with Tatum returning to the lineup, but this Spurs team is just a different animal, especially on their home court, so look for the Spurs to bring their best effort against one of the best in the East and continue rolling here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 10, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 124 Celtics 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Boston Celtics: 3-6 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 6-13 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 8-3 UNDER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-3 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog. 21-11 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

San Antonio Spurs: 22-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 6-1 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 16-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 16-8 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Key Injuries


Boston Celtics:  N. Vucevic (C) Out - Finger.

San Antonio Spurs:  H. Barnes (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. M. Plumlee (C) Day To Day - Reconditioning. D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“At the end of the day, you guys don’t have a ton of access to the advanced analytics, so I think that’s part of it. The second piece is that type of player is just not commercialized. But at the end of the day, do you watch a connector? I think one of the hardest things to do in the NBA is learn how to have complete confidence and also be a connector, make other people around you better, and I think he does both of them.” - Joe Mazzulla on Derrick White after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their game on Sunday.


"When you have the amount of people that average the points that they average for us on the surface, and then on a given night, you have someone that can have a big night, Keldon and Dylan off the bench had good nights. We had three starters with 20 plus, you may not have the points. And so if we can continue to acknowledge and celebrate that for not only ourselves, but for each other, I think it makes us that much more dynamic." - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Boston Celtics
PG Derrick White 
SG Jaylen Brown 
SF Sam Hauser
PF Jayson Tatum
C Neemias Queta

San Antonio Spurs
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Stephon Castle
SF Devin Vassell
PF Julian Champagnie
C Victor Wembanyama

Statistical Leaders


Boston Celtics
PPG: Jaylen Brown (28.7)
APG: Derrick White (5.7)
Reb/G: Neemias Queta (8.4)

San Antonio Spurs
PPG: Victor Wembanyama (23.9)
APG: Stephon Castle (6.9)
Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.1)

Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (4th season)
San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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