Boise State Broncos vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/04/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 4, 2025

Venue:  Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN 

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BSU +19.5, ND -19.5; Over/Under:  65.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BSU +19.5, ND -19.5; Over/Under:  65 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BSU +19.5, ND -19.5; Over/Under:  65.5 points

Boise State Broncos:  3-1 (1-0) (2nd place, MWC)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  2-2 (0-0) (FBS Independent)

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Boise State Broncos:  won their last game at home against the Appalachian State Mountaineers 47-14.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  won their last game on the road against the Arkansas Razorbacks 56-13.

Boise State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Appalachian State 47-14. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 321 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Sire Gaines led the team in rushing yards with 69. LaTrell Caples led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Marco Notarainni led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Braxton Fely led the defense in sacks with 2. Boen Phelps and A'Marion McCoy each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Notre Dame is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 56-13. CJ Carr was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 354 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jadarian Price led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Jordan Faison led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Adon Shuler led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Boubacar Traore, Jaylen Sneed, and Jordan Botelho each led the defense in sacks with 1. Luke Talich came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 19.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, but they have looked a lot better lately. They opened the season with 2 tough losses against Miami and Texas A&M, but now they have won 2 games in a row and have some momentum on their side. They still have a ton of talent on their team and are now playing with the mindset that they need to run the table to make the playoffs so they are not going to take their foot off the gas in any games. They are off a 56-13 on the road over Arkansas in their last one and their offense has looked great this season. Meanwhile, Boise State has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the MWC. They are looking to recreate their great season last year in which they went to the playoffs, but they lost a lot of talent from that team and haven't looked as good this year. They already have a loss to South Florida on the road and they looked terrible in that loss. Notre Dame has a lot more talent than what they saw against South Florida and this is a Notre Dame team that needs to win every game now. Notre Dame is going to overwhelm Boise State with another offensive explosion and Boise State won't be able to compete. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game. 

Boise State Notre Dame Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 4, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 56 Boise State 27.

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Boise State Broncos: 10-16 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 1-5 ATS on the road in non-conference games. 1-4 ATS on the road as an underdog. 20-12 OVER in all lined games. 10-5 OVER in road lined games. 8-4 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 22-8 ATS in all lined games. 5-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 11-3 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 10-2 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 22-11 OVER in all lined games. 10-4 OVER as a home favorite. 13-4 OVER after a win by 17 or more points.

Boise State Broncos:  J. Dubar (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Bol (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  L. Moore (CB) Questionable - Ankle. P. Jones (OG) Questionable - Ankle. P. Zinter (LB) Questionable - Concussion. C. Jagusah (OG) Questionable - Arm. J. Fisher (TE) Questionable - Knee. C. Flanagan (TE) Out - Achilles. K. Young (RB) Out - Knee. B. Logan (S) Out - Shoulder. D. Devezin (RB) Out - Shoulder.

“I’m proud of the week of prep our guys had. Really, truly feel like we’re getting better every week, and you need to.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against App State in their last game. 

“The ability to handle success is always a challenge. And the ability to handle criticism is always a challenge. I’m proud of both sides of the ball.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game. 

WR Marshall, Chris

WR Ford, Ben

WR Caples, Latrell

TE Lauter, Matt

QB Madsen, Maddux

RB Sherrod, Malik

WR Fields, Malachi

WR Faison, Jordan

WR Greathouse, Jaden

TE Raridon, Eli

QB Carr, CJ

RB Love, Jeremiyah

Passing: Maddux Madsen (1,129)

Rushing: Dylan Riley (360)

Receiving: Latrell Caples (240)

Touchdowns: Dylan Riley (6)

Passing: CJ Carr (1,091)

Rushing: Jeremiyah Love (341)

Receiving: Malachi Fields (275)

Touchdowns: Jeremiyah Love (8)

Coaches:

Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (3rd season)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (5th season)