Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 25, 2025
Venue: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Baylor +4, Cincinnati -4; Over/Under: 66.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Baylor +4, Cincinnati -4; Over/Under: 67 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Baylor +4.5, Cincinnati -4.5; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Season Record
Baylor Bears: 4-3 (2-2) (9th place, Big 12)
Cincinnati Bearcats: 6-1 (4-0) (2nd place, Big 12)
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Baylor Bears: lost their last game on the road against the TCU Horned Frogs 42-36.
Cincinnati Bearcats: won their last game on the road against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 49-17.
Baylor Bears vs Cincinnati Bearcats Preview and Analysis
Baylor is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against TCU 42-36. Sawyer Robertson was the starting QB and he completed 25/52 passes for 318 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Michael Turner led the team in rushing yards with 68. Ashtyn Hawkins led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Caldra Williford and Jacob Redding each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Cincinnati is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma State 49-17. Brendan Sorsby was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 270 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Evan Pryor led the team in rushing yards with 63. Joe Royer led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jiquan Sanks led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Matthew McDoom came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction
The current betting odds have Cincinnati listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Cincinnati has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been rolling in their games lately, off a 49-17 win over Oklahoma State in their last one, and they have looked great on their own field this year with their 4-0 home record. Meanwhile, Baylor has looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall, but their 2-2 conference record has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They are 2-1 in their road games this season, but they are off a 42-36 loss to TCU on the road in their last one and the defense has looked terrible this season. They have a great offense that can put up a ton of points, but their defense has held them back all year and they are going to do the same in this one too. Cincinnati has been rolling in their games lately and they also have a really good offense that is going to put up a ton of points on this Baylor defense. Cincinnati also has the much better defense as they haven't been giving up many points in their games lately. All signs point to Cincinnati continuing to roll in this home game as they start to emerge as a real threat in the Big 12. The best way to place a bet here is on Cincinnati to cover the spread in this game.
Baylor Cincinnati Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 25, 2025 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Cincinnati 45 Baylor 30.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Baylor Bears: 5-0 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 4-1 ATS on the road after allowing 37 points or more last game. 7-2 ATS on the road in games played on turf. 5-0 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 5-1 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 63.
Cincinnati Bearcats: 6-11 ATS in home lined games. 4-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 2-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 3-0 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
Key Injuries
Baylor Bears: W. Tucker (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Allen (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Williams III (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Barnes (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Dossett (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Williams IV (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Wilhelm (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Jackson (LB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Pendergrass (RB) Out - Foot. D. Turner (S) Out - Knee.
Cincinnati Bearcats: K. Woodburn (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Q. Staten (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Roetherford (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Logan (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Holcomb (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Casanova (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“They’re hurt right now. They wanted to win this game. I know they know that they’re a good team. They know we’ve got playmakers, and we’ve got the ability to win games like this. So, they’re probably frustrated, that’s the best way to say it.” - Dave Aranda after his team’s loss against TCU in their last game.
“But we want to go to one of them good bowls, so we've got to keep winning, right? We've got to keep this thing going.” - Scott Satterfield after his team’s win against Oklahoma State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Baylor Bears
WR Hawkins, Ashtyn
WR Cameron, Josh
WR Wilson, Kole
TE Trigg, Michael
QB Robertson, Sawyer
RB Washington, Bryson
FB Mladenka, Cody
Cincinnati Bearcats
WR Caldwell, Jeff
WR Goodie, Caleb
WR Allen, Cyrus
TE Royer, Joe
QB Sorsby, Brendan
RB Pryor, Evan
Statistical Leaders
Baylor Bears
Passing: Sawyer Robertson (2,376)
Rushing: Bryson Washington (580)
Receiving: Josh Cameron (542)
Touchdowns: Bryson Washington (7)
Cincinnati Bearcats
Passing: Brendan Sorsby (1,732)
Rushing: Evan Pryor (412)
Receiving: Caleb Goodie (359)
Touchdowns: Cyrus Allen (8)
Coaches:
Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (6th season)
Cincinnati Bearcats: Scott Satterfield (3rd season)