Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/28/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 26, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 28, 2025
Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens -2.5, Chiefs +2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens -2.5, Chiefs +2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens -2.5, Chiefs +2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  1-2 (3rd place, AFC North)
Kansas City Chiefs:  1-2 (4th place, AFC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 19-11-1 NFL RUN for +$7,020 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 38-30.
Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 22-9.


Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis


The Ravens are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 38-30. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 21/27 passes for 288 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 50 and 1 TD. Mark Andrews led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 22-9. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 224 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 45. Tyquan Thornton led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. George Karlaftis led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylen Watson and Christian Roland-Wallace each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They did have a tough schedule to open up the season, playing the Chargers and the Eagles, but now they are off their first win of the season and that will give them some momentum. It wasn't a pretty win for the Chiefs, beating the Giants 22-9, but they got out of there with the win and the defense has still looked great in all of their games. The offense hasn't looked great, but they are going to figure things out with the talent they have, and they should be getting some players back for this game. Meanwhile, the Ravens haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They have also had a really tough schedule to open up the season, but their defense has been a big issue for them. They could be 2-1, but they blew a big lead against the Bills in week 1 and they are off a 38-30 loss at home to the Lions in their last one, a game in which they could not stop the Lions offense. The Chiefs should have an easier time on offense with the way this Ravens defense has played this season, and it won't be easy for the Ravens offense against this Chiefs defense that is still very good. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 28, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Ravens 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Baltimore Ravens Kansas City Chiefs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 25-16 ATS in all games. 23-14 ATS as a favorite. 8-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 24-15 OVER in all games. 8-3 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Kansas City Chiefs: 2-5 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 34-48 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record. 11-2 1H OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  T. Jones (DL) Injured - Knee. I. Likely (TE) Injured - Foot. N. Madubuike (DL) Injured - Neck. P. Ricard (FB) Injured - Calf. R. Stanley (OT) Injured - Ankle. K. Van Noy (LB) Injured - Hamstring. B. Washington Jr. (DL) Injured - Ankle.

Kansas City Chiefs:  X. Worthy (WR) Injured - Shoulder. A. Gillotte (DL) Injured - Elbow. M. Danna (DL) Injured - Quad. K. Fulton (CB) Injured - Ankle. N. Bolton (LB) Injured - Rib. H. Brown (WR) Injured - Ankle. B. Cook (S) Injured - Neck. C. Humphrey (C) Injured - Rib. P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Right Wrist. C. Omenihu (DL) Injured - Chest. J. Royals (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Taylor (OT) Injured - Knee. D. Tranquill (LB) Injured - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“The biggest problem is we didn’t play good defense. There’s nobody in that locker room that thinks that’s good enough. That’s not who we are. It cannot be who we are. It’s not good enough, it’s not acceptable.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game. 


“Obviously we didn’t have the start we wanted, but it’s a long season. We’ve been searching for one win and try to figure out how we can get this thing going. The main thing now is just keep working, keep stacking and try to get another, then get another win.” - Nick Bolton after their win against the Giants in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Walker, Devontez
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Flowers, Zay
TE Andrews, Mark
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Henry, Derrick
FB Ricard, Patrick

Kansas City Chiefs
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Brown, Hollywood
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: Lamar Jackson (722)
Rushing: Derrick Henry (242)
Receiving: Zay Flowers (231)
Touchdowns: Derrick Henry (3)

Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: Patrick Mahomes (669)
Rushing: Patrick Mahomes (125)
Receiving: Hollywood Brown (171)
Touchdowns: Patrick Mahomes (2)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (18th season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (13th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2025 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.