Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2026

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 11, 2026

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens +3, Falcons -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens +3, Falcons -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens +3, Falcons -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Baltimore Ravens:  3-1 (2nd place, AFC North)

Atlanta Falcons:  2-2 (2nd place, NFC South)

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Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 24-18.

Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 45-24.

The Ravens are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 24-18. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 15/20 passes for 222 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Trenton Simpson led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while Ethan Burke led the defense in sacks with 1. Trenton Simpson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 45-24. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 15/20 passes for 223 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 145 and 2 TDs. Drake London led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 5 receptions. C.J. Henderson and Harold Perkins Jr. each led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Samson Ebukam led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NFC South. They haven't looked great on their home field though with their 0-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC North. They have been a good road team too with their 1-0 road record this year. The Ravens are coming off a 24-18 win over the Titans and they have had a good start to the season with their new head coach, but they have still had some really close calls against bad teams and even blew a big lead to lose at home to the Saints. The offense has looked great, but the defense has been a big issue still and now the offense could have some trouble with Lamar Jackson possibly missing this game. The Ravens also have other key players on offense who are banged up too, so they aren't going to be 100% in this one. The Falcons had a terrible start to the season and looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL after 2 games, but they also had no real QB in those games. Now they have won 2 games in a row since Penix has returned and they have been putting up a ton of points with one of the best RB's in the NFL. They are coming off a 45-24 win over the Saints in their last one and they have a ton of momentum on their side with this offense rolling. This is going to be a really tough offense for this Ravens defense to stop and the Falcons defense has looked a lot better lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 11, 2026 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Falcons 24 Ravens 20.

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Baltimore Ravens: 68-48 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 60-44 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 23-15 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse. 11-4 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.

Atlanta Falcons: 6-12 ATS in home games. 3-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 4-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-2 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.

Baltimore Ravens:  C. Jurgens (C) Injured - Concussion. M. Andrews (TE) Injured - Hand. R. Bateman (WR) Injured - Shoulder. C. Campbell (DL) Injured - Rest. K. Hamilton (S) Injured - Groin. T. Hendrickson (LB) Injured - Finger. M. Humphrey (CB) Injured - Hamstring. L. Jackson (QB) Injured - Ankle. C. Moore (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Simpson (OG) Injured - Groin. R. Stanley (OT) Injured - Toe. A. Vorhees (OG) Injured - Foot. Z. Flowers (WR) Injured - Foot.

Atlanta Falcons:  D. Deablo (LB) Injured - Hamstring. S. Ebukam (DL) Injured - Hamstring. M. Jerrell (OG) Injured - Ankle. C. Thomas (DL) Injured - Shoulder. Y. Abdullah (LB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Matthews (OT) Injured - Groin. Z. Smith (DL) Injured - Concussion.

“We obviously played maybe a little more bit more conservative in the second half with the weather and the lead. Proud of ‘Snoop’ coming in there when his number's called.” - Jesse Minter after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 

“Mike played well; he took care of the football and made some really good throws. I really like his demeanor and how he is operating.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game. 

WR Bateman, Rashod

WR Moore, Chris

WR Flowers, Zay

TE Andrews, Mark

QB Jackson, Lamar

RB Henry, Derrick

WR London, Drake

WR Dotson, Jahan

WR Zaccheaus, Olamide

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

Passing: Lamar Jackson (967)

Rushing: Derrick Henry (374)

Receiving: Zay Flowers (352)

Touchdowns: Derrick Henry (7)

Passing: Michael Penix Jr. (479)

Rushing: Bijan Robinson (494)

Receiving: Drake London (370)

Touchdowns: Bijan Robinson (5)

Coaches:

Baltimore Ravens: Jesse Minter (1st season)

Atlanta Falcons: Kevin Stefanski (1st season)