Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/11/2026

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -102, Twins -118; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  57-61 (4th place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  58-61 (3rd place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-61 record overall and have a road record of 25-31. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Trevor Rogers is their starting pitcher on Monday while Brandon Young is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-3 with a 3.43 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 SO on 6 hits through 4.1 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-61 record overall and have a home record of 30-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Monday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-3 with a 4.45 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 walks with 0 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 57-61 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 25-31 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Twins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 58-61 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 30-27 home record this season. The Twins haven't looked that great lately though, now 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off a series loss to the Brewers. The Orioles are also coming off a series loss, but they have looked better lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are going to have the better pitching matchup too. The Orioles are going with Young in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 8-3 with a 3.43 ERA and the team has been having a lot of success with him. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him and the team has won 5 of their last 6 games with him starting. Ober is on the mound for the Twins in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 7-3 with a 4.45 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. The team has been having more success with him lately, winning 4 games in a row now with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. Both offenses have looked good lately and this is a really important series for the Wild Card, but the Orioles do have the edge here with the more reliable starter. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Twins 3.

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Baltimore Orioles: 57-61 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-21 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 16-24 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 26-17 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Minnesota Twins: 13-12 (+4.3 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 38-29 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 43-35 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 36-20 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Bassitt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Minnesota Twins:  J. Ryan (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Glute. M. Paredes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. C. Sands (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Buxton (CF) Ten Day IL - Hip. A. Banda (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. M. Abel (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Festa (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We all know the pedigree and track record that he has, and to see it night in and night out, it's been really impressive. He has that in him ... being able to kind of change the game himself. Not to mention, what he brings to the culture and the clubhouse and [from] the leadership standpoint.” - Craig Albernaz on Pete Alonso after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday. 

“That’s elite stuff. That’s one of the top two or three guys in the game.” - Derek Shelton on Misiorowski after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday. 

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jackson Holliday (L) 2B

Tyler O'Neill (R) DH

Dylan Beavers (L) LF

Leody Taveras (S) RF

Coby Mayo (R) 3B

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Carlos Narváez (R) C

Trevor Larnach (L) LF

Royce Lewis (R) 1B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Kody Clemens (L) 2B

Brooks Lee (S) 3B

Luke Keaschall (R) CF

Victor Caratini (S) C

Alan Roden (L) RF

Ryan Kreidler (R) SS

Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.312)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (111)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (25)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (75)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Brandon Young (8)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)

ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Batting Average:  Gabriel Gonzalez (.500)

Hits:  Josh Bell (105)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (25)

RBI:  Josh Bell (68)

Stolen Bases:  Luke Keaschall (14)

Wins:  Taj Bradley (9)

Saves:  Yoendrys Gómez (15)

ERA:  Jack Anderson (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)

Minnesota Twins: Derek Shelton (1st season)