Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/13/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 13, 2026

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  42.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Atlanta Falcons:  0-0 (NFC South)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  0-0 (AFC North)

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Atlanta Falcons:  N/A

Pittsburgh Steelers:  N/A

The Falcons finished last season with an 8-9 record overall and they were 3-3 in their division games too. They had a 4-4 record in their home games and had a 4-5 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 20.8 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 23.6 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 333 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 326.6 yards per game. Michael Penix led the team in passing yards with 1,982, Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 1,478, and Kyle Pitts led the team in receiving yards with 928.

The Steelers finished last season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had a 6-3 record in their home games and had a 4-4 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 23.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 22.8 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 305.6 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 356.9 yards per game. Aaron Rodgers led the team in passing yards with 3,322, Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 958, and D.K. Metcalf led the team in receiving yards with 850.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons didn't have a great season going 8-9, and even though that record had them tied with the division winner, they were still expected to be a lot better and underperformed. Now they have hired a new head coach and things could be looking up with the way Stefanski was able to turn around the Browns for a few years. They don't have a great QB situation with Penix and Tagovailoa, but they still have a ton of talent all over that offense. They have some great pass catchers along with one of the best running backs in the league, so they are going to be able to move the ball in games even if their QB play isn't great. They have a lot of talent on defense too and Stefanski did continuously put out a solid defense for years in Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Steelers had a good season going 10-7 and winning the AFC North, but they were never really a true threat in the playoffs and that led to them parting ways with Mike Tomlin. Now they have hired Mike McCarthy to be reunited with Aaron Rodgers, but Rodgers didn't look great for long stretches during the season last year. The defense still has tons of talent all over, but the offense is definitely lacking. The QB situation is going to be an issue for the Steelers this season as Rodgers doesn't look like he has a lot left in the tank, and the team hasn't had a good run game in years either. This is a big opportunity for the Falcons to make a statement on the road and this is an opponent that Stefanski is very familiar with. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 13, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 23 Steelers 20.

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Atlanta Falcons: 11-26 ATS against AFC North division opponents. 2-6 ATS in non-conference games. 10-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-3 UNDER in non-conference games. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-6 ATS in home games. 6-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 8-3 UNDER at home in games where the line is +3 to -3.

Atlanta Falcons:  None.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  None.

"He's more than eager to get out there and practice. He's done a great job." - Kevin Stefanski on the injury to Michael Penix Jr.

"We're going to start on Atlanta here right now, but really just focus on how we want to play. It's our first year, so just want to make sure there's clarity on what we're going to do on defense, offense, special teams." - Mike McCarthy on his team coming into this new NFL season.

WR London, Drake

WR Dotson, Jahan

WR Zaccheaus, Olamide

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

WR Metcalf, DK

WR Pittman Jr., Michael

WR Wilson, Roman

TE Freiermuth, Pat

QB Rodgers, Aaron

RB Warren, Jaylen

FB Nowakowski, Riley

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Kevin Stefanski (1st season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike McCarthy (1st season)