Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/14/2025

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, September 14, 2025

Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3.5, Vikings -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3.5, Vikings -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3.5, Vikings -3.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Atlanta Falcons:  0-1 (2nd place, NFC South)

Minnesota Vikings:  1-0 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20.

Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 27-24.

The Falcons are entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 27/42 passes for 298 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 24. Bijan Robinson led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Xavier Watts and A.J. Terrell Jr. each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Billy Bowman Jr. and Divine Deablo each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Vikings are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 27-24. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 13/20 passes for 143 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordan Mason led the team in rushing yards with 68. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Josh Metellus led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Javon Hargrave led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have a 0-1 record overall this season, but they did look good in their season opener. They lost at home to the Buccaneers 23-20, but they had a chance to win that game at the end and they are going to be a threat in the NFC South this year. They have a lot of talent on offense with Penix looking good in that first game, and the defense looked a lot better in that game too. Meanwhile, the Vikings have a 1-0 record overall after beating the Bears on Monday Night Football 27-24. They had a huge 4th quarter to win that game, but they were trailing for most of the time and that offense looked terrible to start the game. JJ McCarthy got better throughout the game, but this is still his 2nd NFL start and he has a lot to learn. The Vikings are also on shorter rest here since they played on Monday night. The defense was great as they were able to keep the Vikings in that game long enough for the Vikings offense to wake up, but they aren't going to be able to shut down this Falcons offense like that if the Vikings offense hits a snag again. The Falcons are going to be able to keep themselves in this game with that good offense and improved defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 14, 2025 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Falcons 20 Vikings 17.

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Atlanta Falcons: 0-5 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 11-23 ATS in all games. 3-9 ATS as an underdog. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog. 6-3 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 

Minnesota Vikings: 4-1 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 7-2 ATS off a road win. 8-3 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 12-5 UNDER as a favorite. 7-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Atlanta Falcons:  B. Bowman Jr. (CB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Mooney (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. London (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Hellams (S) Injured - Hamstring. J. Pearce Jr. (DL) Injured - Groin. J. Agnew (WR) Injured - Groin. J. Fuller (S) Injured - Knee. J. Nelson (OG) Injured - Calf. C. Washington (WR) Injured - Concussion.

Minnesota Vikings:  J. McCarthy (QB) Injured - NIR - Personal. I. Rodgers (CB) Injured - Elbow. M. Price (WR) Injured - Knee. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Knee. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Toe. J. Nailor (WR) Injured - Hand. J. Okudah (CB) Injured - Concussion. J. Oliver (TE) Injured - Ankle. Z. Scott (RB) Injured - Ankle. A. Van Ginkel (LB) Injured - Concussion. E. Williams (DL) Injured - Hamstring. H. Smith (S) Injured - Illness.

“He missed it. I’m not going to sit here and pretend I can tell you about the technique and what happened with that miss. But we got to make those kicks. Those are very makeable kicks. We’ve got to lock in and get that done.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game. 

“The look in his eye was fantastic. The best thing was just the belief I felt from the team, from the unit, and ultimately, that doesn’t get done without him in the second half.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game. 

WR Mooney, Darnell

WR London, Drake

WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

WR Jefferson, Justin

WR Nailor, Jalen

WR Thielen, Adam

TE Hockenson, T.J.

QB McCarthy, J.J. 

RB Jones Sr., Aaron

Passing: M. Penix Jr. (298)

Rushing: B. Robinson (24)

Receiving: B. Robinson (100)

Touchdowns: B. Robinson (1)

Passing: J. McCarthy (143)

Rushing: J. Mason (68)

Receiving: A. Jones Sr. (44)

Touchdowns: A. Jones Sr. (1)

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (2nd season)

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)