by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, November 9, 2025
Venue: Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Where to Watch: NFL Network, NFL Network+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons +6, Colts -6; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons +5.5, Colts -5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons +5.5, Colts -5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 3-5 (3rd place, NFC South)
Indianapolis Colts: 7-2 (1st place, AFC South)
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Atlanta Falcons: lost their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 24-23.
Indianapolis Colts: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-20.
Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New England Patriots 24-23. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 221 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 46. Drake London led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 3 TDs. A.J. Terrell Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while LaCale London, Jalon Walker, and Brandon Dorlus each led the defense in sacks with 2. Jessie Bates III came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Colts are entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-20. Daniel Jones was the starting QB and he completed 31/50 passes for 342 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 45. Alec Pierce led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Germaine Pratt led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Laiatu Latu led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Falcons vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-5 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NFC South. They haven't looked great lately and they are off a 24-23 loss to the Patriots in their last one, but they did look better in that loss and will be looking to bounce back here. Meanwhile, the Colts have looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC South with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They are off a 27-20 loss to the Steelers in their last one though and they have finally come back down to Earth after their hot start. They have been rolling over bad teams all season, but they have struggled against the playoff level teams they have faced this season. They have also looked a lot better on their home field with their 5-0 home record, but this game is at a neutral site in Germany and the conditions are going to be very similar to the game they played last week against the Steelers. The Falcons haven't looked great lately, but they are going to be desperate for a win after losing 3 games in a row and they have the defense to keep themselves right in this game with the Colts. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 9, 2025 (9:30 am ET start time) is Colts 24 Falcons 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 15-26 ATS in all games. 9-16 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 5-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 8-4 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-3 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more.
Indianapolis Colts: 12-7 ATS as a favorite. 5-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 6-1 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 175 or less passing yards/game. 6-1 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: S. Norton (OG) Injured - Foot. L. Floyd (DL) Injured - Hamstring. M. Hughes (CB) Injured - Neck. C. Lindstrom (OG) Injured - Foot. M. Bergeron (OG) Injured - Ankle. Z. Harrison (DL) Injured - Knee. L. London (DL) Injured - Shoulder. C. Washington (WR) Injured - Back. J. Bertrand (LB) Injured - Knee. B. Bowman Jr. (CB) Injured - Hamstring.
Indianapolis Colts: K. Moore II (CB) Injured - Achilles. D. Buckner (DL) Injured - Neck. S. Ebukam (DL) Injured - Knee. T. Lewis (DL) Injured - Groin. M. Pittman Jr. (WR) Injured - Glute. S. Gardner (CB) Injured - Concussion. M. Goncalves (OG) Injured - Personal. A. Gould (WR) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"Nice job by those guys. Great situational football. He wasn't ready for the snap.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s loss against the Patriots in their last game.
“I think when you take away the takeaways, we'll be moving the ball down the field and scoring a lot of points again. I have a ton of faith in our offense.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR London, Drake
WR Sills V, David
TE Pitts Sr., Kyle
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Robinson, Bijan
Indianapolis Colts
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Downs, Josh
TE Warren, Tyler
QB Jones, Daniel
RB Taylor, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: Michael Penix Jr. (1,630)
Rushing: Bijan Robinson (595)
Receiving: Drake London (587)
Touchdowns: Drake London (5)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: Daniel Jones (2,404)
Rushing: Jonathan Taylor (895)
Receiving: Michael Pittman Jr. (561)
Touchdowns: Jonathan Taylor (14)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (2nd season)
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
