Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/21/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Sep 16, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 21, 2025
Venue:  Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons -5.5, Panthers +5.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons -5.5, Panthers +5.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons -5, Panthers +5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Season Record

Atlanta Falcons:  1-1 (2nd place, NFC South)
Carolina Panthers:  0-2 (4th place, NFC South)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 22-6.
Carolina Panthers:  lost their last game on the road against the Arizona Cardinals 27-22.


Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Preview and Analysis


The Falcons are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 22-6. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 135 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 143. Drake London led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 3 receptions. David Onyemata led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Zach Harrison and Brandon Dorlus each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Billy Bowman Jr. and Xavier Watts each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Panthers are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 27-22. Bryce Young was the starting QB and he completed 35/55 passes for 328 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Chuba Hubbard led the team in rushing yards with 38. Tetairoa McMillan led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Tre'von Moehrig led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Princely Umanmielen led the defense in sacks with 1. D.J. Wonnum came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Falcons vs Panthers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 1-1 record overall. They lost their season opener at home to the Buccaneers, but they were in position to win that game at the end and didn't play a bad game there. Now they are off a 22-6 win on the road against the Vikings and that defense has looked great this season for the Falcons. The offense has struggled at times, but they have a great run game with Robinson and they have been moving the ball down the field in their games, just struggling to get in the end zone. They won't have those troubles here though since they are playing against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Panthers have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC South. They have been one of the worst teams in the NFL over the last few years and haven't looked any better this season. They got blown out against the Jags in week 1 and now they are off a 27-22 loss to the Cardinals in a game where they had the ball at the end with a chance to win, but the Cardinals were up 27-3 before the Panthers even tried to make it a game. The Falcons have a much better defense though so there won't be any late comebacks for this Panthers offense, and this Panthers defense is going to give up points with the talent on this Falcons offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Panthers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 21, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 31 Panthers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends


Atlanta Falcons: 28-17 ATS on the road after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 22-14 UNDER in all games. 10-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 18-10 UNDER in games played on turf. 

Carolina Panthers: 13-21 ATS in all games. 13-20 ATS as an underdog. 2-5 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 5-1 UNDER versus division opponents. 

Key Injuries


Atlanta Falcons:  D. Mooney (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Hellams (S) Injured - Hamstring. K. Elliss (LB) Injured - Neck. J. Nelson (OG) Injured - Calf. C. Washington (WR) Injured - Concussion. J. Agnew (WR) Injured - Groin. A. Terrell Jr. (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Pearce Jr. (DL) Injured - Groin. C. Woerner (TE) Injured - Ankle.

Carolina Panthers:  P. Jones II (LB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Wharton (DL) Injured - Hamstring. X. Legette (WR) Injured - Hamstring. B. Tremayne (WR) Injured - Quadriceps.

Notable Quotes


“He’s selfless. He’ll do whatever it takes to win, which is exactly what he did tonight.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s win against the Vikings in their last game. 


“It showed the fight of this team. It’s a team full of guys that are going to play until the last snap, they’re always going to believe, always going to fight. I’m super, super proud to be a part of that. But obviously, don’t want to be in that position to start with.” - Bryce Young after their loss against the Cardinals in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR London, Drake
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
TE Pitts Sr., Kyle
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Robinson, Bijan

Carolina Panthers
WR McMillan, Tetairoa
WR Legette, Xavier
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion
QB Young, Bryce
RB Hubbard, Chuba

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Falcons
Passing: M. Penix Jr. (433)
Rushing: B. Robinson (167)
Receiving: B. Robinson (125)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (1)

Carolina Panthers
Passing: B. Young (482)
Rushing: C. Hubbard (95)
Receiving: T. McMillan (168)
Touchdowns: C. Hubbard (2)

Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (2nd season)
Carolina Panthers: Dave Canales (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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