by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 23, 2026
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN Unlimited, MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Braves -110, Padres -110; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Braves -110, Padres -110; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Braves -110, Padres -110; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Atlanta Braves: 48-28 (1st place, NL East)
San Diego Padres: 39-37 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves: 3-7 last 10
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-28 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Grant Holmes is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher JR Ritchie is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 4.54 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 ER, 3 HR, and 3 BB with 4 SO on 5 hits through 5 IP against the San Francisco Giants.
The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-37 record overall and have a home record of 19-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .657 OPS. Michael King is their starting pitcher on Monday while Griffin Canning is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-5 with a 6.64 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings pitched against the St Louis Cardinals.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 39-37 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL West. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark though with their 19-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 48-28 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East. They have been a great road team too with their 24-14 road record this year. The Braves have been rolling all season and just beat the Brewers in their last series, but they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been slipping over the last few weeks. They are going with Ritchie in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-2 with a 4.54 ERA and has had some trouble in his rookie season. His team has lost 3 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off a terrible start in which he gave up 5 earned runs. The Padres are going with Canning in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-5 with a 6.64 ERA, but lately he has looked a lot better. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and even his team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Braves have one of the best offenses in MLB while the Padres have one of the worst, but the Padres definitely have the better pitching staff and can take advantage of this inexperienced rookie who hasn't pitched well this season. The Braves haven't been at their best lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Braves Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 23, 2026 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Braves 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves: 33-46 (-27.5 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 213-189 (-40.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-98 (-13 units) on the moneyline in road games. 7-3 OVER against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres: 228-183 (+23.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 119-85 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 165-131 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 9-5 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Braves: M. Yastrzemski (LF) Day To Day - Undisclosed. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. T. Kinley (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Finger. H. Waldrep (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. K. Farmer (DH) Ten Day IL - Forearm. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.
San Diego Padres: F. Fermin (C) Seven Day IL - Concussion. J. Estrada (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Laureano (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hip. N. Pivetta (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Ten Day IL - Toe. M. Waldron (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. J. Cronenworth (2B) Seven Day IL - Concussion. G. Marquez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Hoeing (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It was kind of a strange game for Bryce. I thought his stuff was good.” - Walt Weiss after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.
“It’s like the challenge of a guy that didn’t have spring training. We’ve seen that a lot from pitchers, and it’s hard for them to kind of get into the mode of the season and get their stuff back.” - Craig Stammen on Lucas Giolito after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Braves
Mauricio Dubón (R) LF
Drake Baldwin (L) DH
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Joey Bart (R) C
Eli White (R) RF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
San Diego Padres
Samad Taylor (R) RF
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Gavin Sheets (L) LF
Will Wagner (L) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Ty France (R) 1B
Sung-Mun Song (L) 2B
Rodolfo Durán (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Jair Camargo (.500)
Hits: Ozzie Albies (83)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (20)
RBI: Matt Olson (51)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuña (15)
Wins: Chris Sale (8)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (15)
ERA: James Karinchak (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Samad Taylor (.362)
Hits: Fernando Tatis (82)
Home Runs: Manny Machado (13)
RBI: Manny Machado (41)
Stolen Bases: Fernando Tatis (18)
Wins: Randy Vásquez (6)
Saves: Mason Miller (20)
ERA: Mason Miller (0.87)
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)
San Diego Padres: Craig Stammen (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
