Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/05/2026

Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Saturday, September 5, 2026

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Phillies -163; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Phillies -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  83-57 (1st place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  79-61 (2nd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and split their 2-game series against the Washington Nationals 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 83-57 record overall and have a road record of 35-33. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Friday while Martín Pérez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-8 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 SO on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 79-61 record overall and have a home record of 38-30. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-5 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 79-61 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 38-30 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 83-57 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 35-33 road record this year. The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling lately, but the Phillies have also been rolling as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are going to have the better pitching matchup here. The Phillies are going with Wheeler in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 11-5 with a 3.31 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs all year. He is coming off another great start giving up 1 earned run which has been a common theme for him and the team has been having success with him too, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Braves are going with Perez in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 8-8 with a 3.05 ERA, but he has also been really up and down all season and the team hasn't been having success with him lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been the case all year and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Phillies haven't been giving up many runs over the last few weeks either with their pitching staff really hitting their stride, so look for the Phillies to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 5, 2026 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Braves 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 248-218 (-39.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 115-117 (-23.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 48-66 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 15-8 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Philadelphia Phillies: 273-200 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 149-86 (+22.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 160-113 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 13-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Atlanta Braves:  R. Suarez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Lopez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  F. Reyes (LF) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. C. Kilian (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. T. Banks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Keller (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Rojas (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

“Any time you’re first, or even top 50 on any list in this game, it’s amazing when you think about the history of this game and the people who have played it. We know Ronald’s talent. It’s freakish talent. So he’s capable of doing unbelievable things.” - Walt Weiss on Ronald Acuna Jr after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Wednesday. 

“If you said before that we're gonna go 6-3 before you leave, you're gonna go, ‘OK, we'll take that.’ Obviously, we were in a spot today that could have really put an exclamation mark on the trip, but we weren't able to. We just didn't do enough to win, we didn't deserve to win.” - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Wednesday.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Drake Baldwin (L) DH

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Lane Thomas (R) LF

Mauricio Dubón (R) CF

Sean Murphy (R) C

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) RF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Edmundo Sosa (R) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 3B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Derek Hill (R) CF

Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)

Hits:  Michael Harris (150)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (37)

RBI:  Michael Harris (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (20)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (29)

ERA:  Hunter Stratton (0.00)

Batting Average:  Bryan De La Cruz (.354)

Hits:  Bryce Harper (135)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (40)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (83)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (24)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (16)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (29)

ERA:  Bryse Wilson (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)