Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/07/2026

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, August 7, 2026

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  ESPN Unlimited, MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Yankees -163; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +135, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  69-45 (1st place, NL East)

New York Yankees:  64-51 (2nd place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

The Braves completed the sweep in their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 4-0. They enter this game with a 69-45 record overall and have a road record of 31-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Miami Marlins still to be played on Thursday. The Braves won the series opener on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Martín Pérez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Tyler Mahle is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-9 with a 5.13 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 9 SO on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-51 record overall and have a home record of 27-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Will Warren was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 3.12 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 69-45 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 31-25 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 64-51 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 27-25 home record this season. The Yankees haven't looked their best at home this season though and lately they haven't looked that great altogether, going 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Braves have steadily been one of the best teams in the league all season and lately they have been getting hot again, now 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Yankees are going with Fried in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 4-3 with a 3.12 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs this year either. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he has been a bit shaky since coming back from his injury and lately the Yankees bullpen hasn't looked great either. Their offense has also been underperforming while the Braves are starting to surge again, so look for the Braves to take advantage of this pitching matchup as the hotter team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 7, 2026 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Yankees 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 80-56 (+4.7 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 66-50 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 36-25 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 76-34 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.

New York Yankees: 24-22 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 262-197 (-19.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 128-98 (-30.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 20-11 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Lopez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Suarez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  C. Bellinger (LF) Ten Day IL - Leg. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“He’s hitting the ball hard. When guys struggle, they start to feel for the ball a little bit. They get defensive. But it looks like he’s getting his 'A' swing off. That’s a really good sign.” - Walt Weiss after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

“I thought Pallante was good, but we’ve got to come through in those situations. I liked the opportunities tonight. We had a lot of chances; it felt like we had baserunners every inning, but we’ve got to be able to deliver. We haven’t done that enough.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

Drake Baldwin (L) DH

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Mauricio Dubón (R) SS

Lane Thomas (R) LF

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) DH

Luis García Jr. (L) 1B

Heliot Ramos (R) LF

Spencer Jones (L) RF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

George Lombard Jr. (R) SS

Austin Wells (L) C

Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)

Hits:  Michael Harris (119)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (31)

RBI:  Matt Olson (69)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (12)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (24)

ERA:  Hunter Stratton (0.00)

Batting Average:  George Lombard (.333)

Hits:  Ben Rice (106)

Home Runs:  Ben Rice (31)

RBI:  Ben Rice (73)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (30)

Wins:  Cam Schlittler (10)

Saves:  David Bednar (25)

ERA:  Yerry De los Santos (1.04)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)