Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/28/2026

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Thursday, May 28, 2026

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -137, Red Sox +113; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Red Sox +120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -140, Red Sox +115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  37-18 (1st place, NL East)

Boston Red Sox:  22-31 (5th place, AL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-18 record overall and have a road record of 20-8. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 1.89 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 8 SO on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 22-31 record overall and have a home record of 8-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Red Sox lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Connelly Early is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Payton Tolle is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-2 with a 2.45 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 9 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 37-18 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with the best record in MLB. They have been a great road team too with their 20-8 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Red Sox haven't looked good in their games this season with their 22-31 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AL East. They have looked terrible in their own ballpark too with their 8-18 home record this season. The Braves have looked great all season and they finally lost a series against the Nationals over the weekend, but they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and will be looking to get rolling again. The Red Sox had a terrible start to the season and they haven't really recovered lately, going 4-6 in their last 10 games and looking like one of the worst teams in the American League. The Braves also have one of the best offenses in MLB to help them out and they are going to have the better pitching matchup to take advantage of. Sale is on the mound here for the Braves and he has pretty much been their ace this season. He is 7-3 with a 1.89 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs this year at all. His team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme this season. The team is going to start playing better with Sale on the mound here and he is off another great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run. The Red Sox are going with Tolle in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 2-2 with a 2.45 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs, but he doesn't have a great bullpen to help him out here. He also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. Even with a good start from him, the Braves still have a big edge here with their bullpen and better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 28, 2026 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 4 Red Sox 0.

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Atlanta Braves: 49-33 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 70-42 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 26-15 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 102-70 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Boston Red Sox: 192-187 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 93-94 (-26.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 18-26 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 24-17 UNDER against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves:  H. Waldrep (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Baldwin (C) Ten Day IL - Oblique. K. Farmer (DH) Ten Day IL - Forearm. S. Murphy (C) Ten Day IL - Finger. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (SS) Ten Day IL - Groin. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. R. Anthony (LF) Ten Day IL - Wrist. P. Sandoval (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Crochet (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Oviedo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Gonzalez (1B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“If he can get to it, he can smoke it, and that was a big home run late.” - Walt Weiss on Michael Harris II after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Tuesday.

“You love to see the group fight and put themselves in position again to not only tie the game but win the game. We want to see that — it’s awesome. But we want to put ourselves in some positions to be in the lead like they are and use our back-end guys. Certainly, they’re not rolling over.” - Chad Tracy after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday. 

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Mauricio Dubón (R) LF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Eli White (R) DH

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Sandy León (S) C

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Wilyer Abreu (L) RF

Willson Contreras (R) 1B

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Mickey Gasper (S) C

Nick Sogard (S) 2B

Marcelo Mayer (L) SS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 3B

Batting Average:  José Azócar (.333)

Hits:  Drake Baldwin (57)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (15)

RBI:  Matt Olson (44)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (7)

Wins:  Chris Sale (7)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (9)

ERA:  Carlos Carrasco (0.00)

Batting Average:  Mickey Gasper (.325)

Hits:  Wilyer Abreu (58)

Home Runs:  Willson Contreras (11)

RBI:  Willson Contreras (33)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (10)

Wins:  Sonny Gray (5)

Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (12)

ERA:  Eduardo Rivera (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Chad Tracy (Interim)