by ASA, Inc.
ASA's WEEK 3 NFL PLAYER PROPS
Justin Herbert Over 222.5 Pass Yards
Herbert has had a rough start to the season, especially considering the high expectations many had for the Mike McDaniel’s-led offense. After two bad losses against bottom-tier teams, the Chargers head to Buffalo for a potential shootout with the second highest point total of the weekend – O/U 50.5. Los Angeles has the firepower to hang with the Bills, but Josh Allen has been virtually unstoppable through two weeks. Whether it's a close game, or a Bills blowout, the Chargers should be throwing all game and Buffalo gives up the third most passing yards in the league at 273 per game. Historically, Herbert has been phenomenal, posting a passer rating of 93 or higher in each of his first six seasons while averaging 260 yards per game. Expect to see his play swing back to that status quo as he gets comfortable in this new offense.
Derrick Henry Over 104.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards
The ageless wonder continues to truck on and may do so for eternity at this point. Baltimore meets Dallas in Rio de Janeiro for the most expected points of week three - O/U 52.5. Henry is averaging 106 yards on the ground while being more involved in the passing game to start the year, with 19 receiving yards each game. Dallas gives up the third most rushing yards to opposing offenses - 173.5 yards per game. Expect the usual heavy dose of Henry on Sunday as the Ravens still have a sour taste from losing to the Saints, where Henry touched the ball once in the fourth quarter. With a high-paced game, Henry should rack up 20+ touches. At 4.9 career yards per attempt, the big man should rumble past this line.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 90.5 Receiving Yards
JSN has been the best receiver in football through two weeks and until teams figure out how to slow him down, continue to ride with him. He commands a league-leading 44% target share yet opposing defenses cannot find an answer. Dating back to last season, Smith-Njigba has surpassed 120 yards in three of his past four games, the fourth being a blowout win in the Super Bowl. This Sunday, the Commanders have a suspect secondary that just allowed CeeDee Lamb 153 yards on 8 catches. JSN always has the potential to go nuclear, but that type of performance won't even be needed to hit his yardage mark.