Arkansas Razorbacks vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/11/2025

Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 11, 2025

Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +12.5, Tennessee -12.5; Over/Under:  68.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +12.5, Tennessee -12.5; Over/Under:  68.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +12.5, Tennessee -12.5; Over/Under:  68.5 points

Arkansas Razorbacks:  2-3 (0-1) (15th place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  4-1 (1-1) (8th place, SEC)

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  lost their last game at home against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 56-13.

Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 41-34 in overtime.

Arkansas is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Notre Dame 56-13. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 17/32 passes for 207 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Taylen Green led the team in rushing yards with 81. O'Mega Blake led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Julian Neal led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Phillip Lee led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Tennessee is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 41-34 in OT. Joey Aguilar was the starting QB and he completed 24/40 passes for 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 72 and 1 TD. Mike Matthews led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Arion Carter led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 11 assisted tackles while Tyre West led the defense in sacks with 2. Colton Hood came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but their 1-1 conference record has them lower in the SEC. They are coming out of their bye week now so they have had extra time to rest for this game, and that bye week came at the perfect time for them, right after 2 conference games in a row that both went to OT. They lost to Georgia in OT in a game that they probably should have won and they beat Mississippi State in OT in their last one in a game that they probably should have lost, but they have had some time to regroup now and with the current state of the SEC, everything is still in front of them. Meanwhile, Arkansas hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and their 0-1 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They are also coming out of their bye week, but they have been a disaster all season and are in a much worse situation here. They are coming off a 56-13 loss to Notre Dame at home and they fired their head coach right after that loss. Now they go on the road where they are 0-2 this season and they still have one of the worst defenses in the SEC with the points they have been giving up. Tennessee doesn't have the great defense they have had in recent years, but they still have a great offense that can put up a ton of points and they still have the better defense too. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 11, 2025 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 45 Arkansas 24.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 5-0 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 7-4 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 6-2 ATS on the road vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 19-10 OVER in all lined games. 6-3 OVER in road lined games. 8-4 OVER after playing a game at home.

Tennessee Volunteers: 6-11 ATS against conference opponents. 1-4 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 3-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 9-5 OVER as a home favorite. 

Arkansas Razorbacks:  C. Settles (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Harrison (WR) Questionable - Foot. K. Henderson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Schueck (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Cisse (WR) Out - Wrist.

Tennessee Volunteers:  M. Dye (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Davis (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Morris (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Jackson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Hobbs (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Barnes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Gibson III (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. McCoy (CB) Out - Knee.

“I get it. If I was a fan I’d be mad at me, too. I’d be frustrated as hell with me. But, as long as I’m the head coach at Arkansas, I’m going to fight my butt off to get the guys out there. How long that is, it’s not, it’s partly up to me because of what we put on the field. But that’s not my call.” - Sam Pittman after Arkansas lost their last game against Notre Dame. 

“At the end of the day, it was a win for the good guys. A lot to clean up, but a good road win against a good football team.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Mississippi State in their last game. 

WR Blake, O'Mega

WR Brown, Jalen

WR Brown, CJ

TE Jones, Rohan

QB Green, Taylen

RB Washington Jr., Mike

FB Lassiter, Maddox

WR Matthews, Mike

WR Brazzell II, Chris

WR Staley, Braylon

TE Kitselman, Miles

QB Aguilar, Joey

RB Bishop, DeSean

Passing: Taylen Green (1,398)

Rushing: Taylen Green (441)

Receiving: O'Mega Blake (399)

Touchdowns: Mike Washington Jr. (5)

Passing: Joey Aguilar (1,459)

Rushing: DeSean Bishop (335)

Receiving: Chris Brazzell II (531)

Touchdowns: Chris Brazzell II (7)

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: Bobby Petrino (Interim)

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (5th season)