Arkansas Razorbacks vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/28/2026

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, February 28, 2026

Venue:  Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +10.5, Florida -10.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +10.5, Florida -10.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +10.5, Florida -10.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

Arkansas Razorbacks:  21-7 (11-4) (3rd place, SEC)

Florida Gators:  22-6 (13-2) (1st place, SEC)

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  4-1  last 5

Florida Gators:  5-0  last 5

Arkansas is entering this game with a 21-7 record overall, an 11-4 record in conference games, and they are 4-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Billy Richmond led the team in points in that game with 23 while Darius Acuff was next on the team with 22. Darius Acuff led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Malique Ewin led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.8% from the field, 23.5% from 3-point range, and 87.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 78.5 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 19-9 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.

Florida is entering this game with a 22-6 record overall, a 13-2 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Alex Condon led the team in points in that game with 23 while Boogie Fland was next on the team with 22. Xaivian Lee led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Isaiah Brown led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 59.3% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 14-14 this season and their O/U record is 10-17-1.

The current betting odds have Arkansas listed as a 10.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas has looked great in their games this season with their 21-7 record overall and their 11-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They haven't been a great road team though with their 4-4 road record this year. Meanwhile, Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 22-6 record overall and their 13-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-1 home record this season. Florida didn't have a great start to the season with some trouble in the preseason, but they have been rolling in conference play and are starting to look like a team that can win the National Championship again. They have been the best team in the SEC this year and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now, but the SEC is also having a bit of a down year with the strength of the teams and Florida hasn't really run into too many challenges lately. They are going to get one here though with Arkansas looking like the 2nd best team in the SEC at the moment. Arkansas is off a double digit win over Texas A&M in their last one and they have been rolling in their games lately. They have won 2 games in a row now and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games, their only loss during that time being on the road by 2 points in double overtime against Alabama. Arkansas has the offense to keep up with Florida in this game though and they have one of the best players in the nation to lean on too. Florida doesn't have much of a 3-point game either so it will be tough for them to pull away from Arkansas since Arkansas will always have a way back in the game. These are the two best teams in the conference right now and Arkansas is going to bring their best effort for the team that won the National Championship last season too. The best way to place a bet here is on Arkansas to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 28, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 91 Florida 87.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 7-15 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 16-22 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 15-21 ATS off a home win. 14-5 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 26-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 

Florida Gators: 8-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 12-3 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 30-13 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 17-8 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  K. Knox (F) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Florida Gators:  None.

“I'm a little disappointed. I'm not trying to put more on the kid. Why isn't he in the equation [for] the Player of the Year in the country? He's averaging as many as all those people. He's got 6 assists. He got 3 rebounds. He's doing things in the guts of games. Yeah, maybe they are, but he is too. So why isn't he being mentioned?” - John Calipari on Darius Acuff after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game. 

"Incredibly proud of our group. I thought we did a great job being resilient tonight. Credit to Texas. They're an incredibly tough club. I think they're really good. The type of team that can make a deep run in March.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against Texas in their last game. 

D. Acuff 

T. Brazile 

K. Knox 

N. Pringle 

D. Wagner

R. Chinyelu 

A. Condon 

B. Fland 

T. Haugh 

X. Lee

PPG: Darius Acuff Jr. (22.2)

APG: Darius Acuff Jr. (6.2)

Reb/G: Trevon Brazile (7.1)

PPG: Thomas Haugh (16.9)

APG: Xaivian Lee (3.9)

Reb/G: Rueben Chinyelu (11.5)

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: John Calipari (2nd season)

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (4th season)