Arizona Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/24/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Venue:  Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arizona -10.5, Baylor +10.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arizona -10.5, Baylor +10.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arizona -9.5, Baylor +9.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Arizona Wildcats:  25-2 (12-2) (1st place, Big 12)

Baylor Bears:  14-13 (4-10) (13th place, Big 12)

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Arizona Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Baylor Bears:  1-4  last 5

Arizona is entering this game with a 25-2 record overall, a 12-2 record in conference games, and they are 7-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Houston Cougars in their last game. Anthony Dell'Orso led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jaden Bradley was next on the team with 17. Jaden Bradley led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Ivan Kharchenkov led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.6% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 64.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 15-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-14.

Baylor is entering this game with a 14-13 record overall, a 4-10 conference record, and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arizona State Sun Devils in their last game. Tounde Yessoufou and Obi Agbim each led the team in points in that game with 16 while Isaac Williams was next on the team with 14. Isaac Williams led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Caden Powell led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 56.9% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 46.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.3 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 10-16 this season and their O/U record is 13-13.

The current betting odds have Arizona listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has looked great in their games this season with their 25-2 record overall and their 12-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big 12. They have been a great road team too with their 7-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Baylor hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 14-13 record overall and their 4-10 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They have looked a lot better on their home court though with their 10-5 home record this season. They are coming off a win over Arizona State in their last one, but as good as they have looked at home, they are still just 1-4 in their last 5 games and haven't looked good lately. They have struggled a lot this season to compete in the conference and even though Arizona is a bit banged up, they are still the best team in the Big 12 and have been ranked 1st overall for most of the season. Arizona hasn't been at their best lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games with their only 2 losses this year coming in their last 5 games, but they did start the season 23-0 and have some really good wins under their belt. They have been rolling over teams all year whether it has been in conference play or in the preseason, and they are off a really good road win over Houston in their last one. Baylor hasn't been able to compete with top opponents in the Big 12 all season and they definitely don't have the talent to compete with Arizona here. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game. 

Arizona Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 24, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Arizona 80 Baylor 65.

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Arizona Wildcats: 29-20 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 11-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 29-16 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 10-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Baylor Bears: 9-24 ATS as an underdog. 6-11 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 17-27 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 9-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 7-1 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival.

Arizona Wildcats:  K. Peat (F) Doubtful - Lower Leg. D. Aristode (F) Questionable - Illness.

Baylor Bears:  M. Perez (F) Out - Knee. M. Soyoye (C) Out - Redshirt. J. White (G) Questionable - Foot. J. Bodo Bodo (C) Questionable - Arm. A. Iguodala (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

“I don’t know where my coaching career is going to end up. But I do know one thing, I’m going to have become a better coach coaching against Kelvin Sampson, 100 percent. You look at coaches that kind of set the benchmark in certain areas, and for me, he’s one of them. What he’s done with this program down here, it’s been amazing. The kind of run [Houston is] on down here kind of reminds me of where I came from. I was at this little old school called Gonzaga, and no one really believed, but they had a hell of a head coach just like [they] have. The head coach at Gonzaga, and the head coach at Houston have willed these programs to be elite, and that’s really inspiring for me.” - Tommy Lloyd after his team’s win against Houston in their last game. 

"These guys are still fighting and so are you. Thank you for helping us." - Scott Drew to the home fans after his team’s win against ASU in their last game. 

J. Bradley 

B. Burries 

I. Kharchenkov 

M. Krivas 

K. Peat

O. Agbim 

C. Carr 

M. Rataj 

D. Skillings 

T. Yessoufou

PPG: Brayden Burries (15.2)

APG: Jaden Bradley (4.6)

Reb/G: Tobe Awaka (9.4)

PPG: Cameron Carr (18.7)

APG: Obi Agbim (3.2)

Reb/G: Caden Powell (6.5)

Coaches:

Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (5th season)

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (23rd season)