by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 10, 2026
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 11, 2026
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +225, Dodgers -282; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +225, Dodgers -275; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +225, Dodgers -280; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 46-47 (2nd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61-33 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-47 record overall and have a road record of 19-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Eduardo Rodríguez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Brandon Pfaadt is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 4.84 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 6 SO on 4 hits through 5 IP against the San Diego Padres.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-33 record overall and have a home record of 31-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .783 OPS. Shohei Ohtani is their starting pitcher on Friday while Yoshinobu Yamamoto is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-5 with a 2.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-33 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with the best record in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-16 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-47 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NL West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 19-27 road record this year. The Diamondbacks have been really up and down all season and they haven't looked that great lately either. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and don't have a great offense while the Dodgers have been rolling lately, now 7-3 in their last 10 games with one of the best offenses in MLB. The Dodgers are going with Yamamoto in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 9-5 with a 2.49 ERA and he has been a stud all year. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up no runs which has been a common theme for him and the team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting too. The Diamondbacks are going with Pfaadt in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 2-1 with a 4.84 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs this year. His team has had more success lately, winning 2 games in a row now with him starting, and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. Look for the Dodgers to take advantage of this pitching matchup and continue to roll with the much better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 11, 2026 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 9 Diamondbacks 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 72-62 (+6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 35-36 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better. 23-24 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 13-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 276-175 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 147-79 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 127-76 (-17.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 22-12 UNDER against division opponents.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: M. Soroka (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Lower-Body. J. Lawlar (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Nelson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Ten Day IL - Quad. B. Walston (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Mena (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Puk (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Burnes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Martinez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Saalfrank (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. W. Smith (C) Ten Day IL - Neck. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. L. Knack (SP) Sixty Day IL - Chest. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"With how my season's been going this year, it probably means a little bit more. Just that I was finally able to deliver when they needed me. So we're happy about that. Obviously, happy we got the series [split], and hopefully we can keep this momentum going into the weekend." - Merrill Kelly after their win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.
"I thought that he was fight-or-flight mode right there, and it was good to see it. A lot of conviction, every throw he made." - Dave Roberts on Roki Sasaki after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Corbin Carroll (L) RF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Max Kepler (L) DH
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Tommy Troy (R) CF
Tim Tawa (R) 1B
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Alex Call (R) CF
Eliezer Alfonzo (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Jordan Lawlar (.316)
Hits: Ketel Marte (94)
Home Runs: Ketel Marte (17)
RBI: Ketel Marte (54)
Stolen Bases: Geraldo Perdomo (14)
Wins: Michael Soroka (8)
Saves: Paul Sewald (21)
ERA: Brandyn Garcia (2.05)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (102)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (20)
RBI: Andy Pages (64)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (8)
Wins: Justin Wrobleski (10)
Saves: Tanner Scott (13)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (10th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
