by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 09, 2026
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, July 10, 2026
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +209, Dodgers -259; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +210, Dodgers -260; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +210, Dodgers -260; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 45-47 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61-33 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1. They enter this game with a 45-47 record overall and have a road record of 18-27. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the San Diego Padres still to be played on Thursday. The Diamondbacks won the series opener on Monday, lost the 2nd game on Tuesday, and lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Merrill Kelly is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Eduardo Rodríguez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-3 with a 2.25 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-33 record overall and have a home record of 31-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .783 OPS. Rōki Sasaki was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Shohei Ohtani is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 9 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-33 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with the best record in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-16 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-47 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 18-27 road record this year. The Diamondbacks haven't looked great lately either, now 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Dodgers are 7-3 and have been rolling. The Diamondbacks are going with Rodriguez in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 7-3 with a 2.25 ERA and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately. They have won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting and he is coming off another great start in which he gave up 2 earned runs which has been a common theme for him, but the Dodgers do have the best offense in the league and the Diamondbacks bullpen hasn't been great either. The Dodgers are also going with Ohtani in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA and he has been their best starter. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the team has still won 3 games in a row now with him starting. Even with a solid starter here, the Diamondbacks haven't looked great lately while the Dodgers are going to be at their best with Ohtani pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 10, 2026 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 4 Diamondbacks 0.
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MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 71-62 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 35-36 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better. 23-24 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 13-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 276-175 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 147-79 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 127-76 (-17.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 10-1 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: M. Soroka (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Lower-Body. J. Lawlar (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Nelson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Ten Day IL - Quad. B. Walston (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Mena (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Puk (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Burnes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Martinez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Saalfrank (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. W. Smith (C) Ten Day IL - Neck. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. L. Knack (SP) Sixty Day IL - Chest. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"We got experience from last year, so we just got to go out there and keep winning games because that's the only way we're going to make the front office change their approach of it. It's in our hands." - Eduardo Rodriguez on the team’s approach to the 2nd half of the season.
"I thought that he was fight-or-flight mode right there, and it was good to see it. A lot of conviction, every throw he made." - Dave Roberts on Roki Sasaki after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Ildemaro Vargas (S) SS
Corbin Carroll (L) RF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Max Kepler (L) LF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Pavin Smith (L) 1B
Tommy Troy (R) CF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Alex Call (R) CF
Eliezer Alfonzo (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Jordan Lawlar (.316)
Hits: Ketel Marte (94)
Home Runs: Ketel Marte (17)
RBI: Ketel Marte (54)
Stolen Bases: Geraldo Perdomo (14)
Wins: Michael Soroka (8)
Saves: Paul Sewald (20)
ERA: Brandyn Garcia (2.05)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (102)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (20)
RBI: Andy Pages (64)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (8)
Wins: Justin Wrobleski (10)
Saves: Tanner Scott (13)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (10th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
