by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 04, 2026
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 7, 2026
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Alabama +5.5, LSU -5.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Alabama +5.5, LSU -5.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Alabama +5.5, LSU -5.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Alabama Crimson Tide: 6-2 (4-2) (3rd place, SEC)
LSU Tigers: 6-2 (3-2) (6th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Alabama Crimson Tide: won their last game at home against the Texas A&M Aggies 31-20.
LSU Tigers: won their last game on the road against the Auburn Tigers 38-17.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Preview and Analysis
Alabama is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas A&M 31-20. Keelon Russell was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 311 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Daniel Hill led the team in rushing yards with 36. Rico Scott led the receivers with 156 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Caleb Woodson led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Fatutoa Henry led the defense in sacks with 2. Dijon Lee Jr. and Chuck McDonald III each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
LSU is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 38-17. Sam Leavitt was the starting QB and he completed 32/45 passes for 388 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dilin Jones led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. Jackson Harris led the receivers with 178 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 2 TDs. PJ Woodland led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Jordan Ross led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Alabama vs LSU Prediction
The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked great on their home field too with their 5-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 2-1 road record this year. Alabama is coming out of their bye week after beating Texas A&M 31-20 in their last one, but that was a game that they did have trouble in against a bad Texas A&M team. Their offense has been rolling all season, but their defense hasn't looked that great and they have been giving up a lot of points in some of their games against weaker opponents. Now they are going into a really tough place to play here and LSU is also coming out of their bye week. LSU is coming off a 38-17 win over Auburn in their last one and they have been blowing out a lot of bad teams this year. They did lose in Lane's return to Ole Miss, but Ole Miss has proven to be a really good team with one of the best QB's in the nation. They also have a really tight road loss to Kentucky who is right near the top of the SEC. LSU has a great offense that can put up points at home and their better defense is going to be a big factor in this game. LSU has also looked like a completely different team in their home games this year, so look for them to make a statement in this game with Alabama being ranked 5th in the CFP rankings. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game.
Alabama LSU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 7, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is LSU 35 Alabama 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Alabama Crimson Tide: 17-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 22-10 ATS as a road underdog. 44-27 ATS after a bye week. 10-4 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 11-3 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).
LSU Tigers: 13-21 ATS in all lined games. 4-8 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 20-11 UNDER against FBS division opponents. 9-4 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.
Key Injuries
Alabama Crimson Tide: E. Crowell (RB) Questionable - Leg. C. Morgan (WR) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Walker (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Ford (TE) Questionable - Arm. R. Coleman-Williams (WR) Out - Knee.
LSU Tigers: R. Guillory Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Green (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Brown (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Singleton (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Wright III (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. Spears (S) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Rico came up in a big way. He's developed those expectations for himself above and beyond. Keelon has a lot of confidence in him.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game.
“He just works really hard. We saw his speed and outran everybody in the SEC to get his play today. It’s awesome to see.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Meadows, Derek
WR Scott, Rico
WR Brooks, Lotzeir
TE Edwards, Kaleb
QB Russell, Keelon
RB Hill, Daniel
LSU Tigers
WR Wilson III, Eugene
WR Harris, Jackson
WR Watkins Jr., Winston
TE Green, Trey'Dez
QB Leavitt, Sam
RB Jones, Dilin
Statistical Leaders
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: Keelon Russell (2,057)
Rushing: Daniel Hill (332)
Receiving: Lotzeir Brooks (488)
Touchdowns: Trae'shawn Brown (5)
LSU Tigers
Passing: Sam Leavitt (2,173)
Rushing: Dilin Jones (657)
Receiving: Jackson Harris (634)
Touchdowns: Sam Leavitt (8)
Coaches:
Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (3rd season)
LSU Tigers: Lane Kiffin (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
