by Kyle Hunter
Thursday, Jul 24, 2025
San Diego State over 4.5 (-130) I really like Sean Lewis. They have two quarterbacks this year who are clearly an upgrade from what they had a year ago. The defense returns 10 starters and the Idaho DC who came in should help them improve a good amount. The road trips to Nevada and New Mexico are games where they will be favored. They host Stony Brook, Colorado State, and a Wyoming team that is down. I think 6-6 is far more likely than 4-8 or worse.
The juice here isn’t significant either. I think there is some cushion here in a Mountain West that is down quite a bit from a few years ago.
Georgia Tech over 7.5 (-120) The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have a veteran quarterback in Haynes King, and they have one of the most favorable schedules you will ever see in a major conference.
Georgia Tech hosts Gardner Webb and Temple in the non conference schedule. They also go to Colorado, and the Buffaloes are way down from a year ago. The Yellow Jackets road games at Wake Forest and Boston College look quite favorable. They host the better teams on their schedule too. They get to play at home against Clemson, Virginia Tech, Pitt, and Georgia. I think Georgia Tech will be favored in at least nine games barring a serious injury to Haynes King.
I really like the Georgia Tech coaching staff, and this should be a good season for the Jackets!
Air Force over 5.5 (-165) The juice is much more significant here, but I do really like the over in this case. I’m buying low on Troy Calhoun and Air Force. Calhoun is a proven winner. The Falcons had a down season last year, but I loved the way they played down the stretch. Air Force won their last four games last season and run the ball much better down the stretch.
The Falcons defense disappointed last year, but they return their top 3 on the DLine. Air Force had allowed 3.8 YPC or less in 5 straight seasons before last year’s 4.6 YPC allowed. They’ll be much better against the run again this season.
They host Bucknell, New Mexico which should be two free wins. They host Wyoming too and they are down. They host Hawaii who should struggle to stop their run game. A road game at Utah State is one where Air Force should win. They routinely finish the season strong and a last 3 games of at UConn, vs. New Mexico, and at Colorado State is pretty favorable. I like the over.
